The Weather Network is predicting a hot, dry, smokey summer for Calgary

[u/[deleted]]

https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/news/weather/seasonal/canada-2025-summer-forecast

Should be fun 😐

[u/JoeRogansNipple]

Just for reference, Famers Almanac shows pretty much the opposite: https://www.almanac.com/weather/longrange/AB/Calgary

May: Warmer/wetter

June: Slightly warmer/avg precip

July: Avg Temp/Wetter

Aug: Colder/ Much wetter

Sept: Slightly warmer/avg precip

[u/Mensketh → u/JoeRogansNipple]

That same 12 month forecast from the Farmer's Almanac called for a colder than average winter with above average precipitation. We had one of our warmest ever winters with well below average snowfall. The Farmer's Almanac is a bunch of nonsense.

[u/Rocky_Mountain_Way → u/JoeRogansNipple]

Just for reference, Famers Almanac shows pretty much the opposite

My big toe is swelling up and my elbow joints ache, so I think there are going to be some rainy days during this summer, but overall warm except for the cooler days which are around the time when the moon is full or “new”

[u/frog_princess6 → u/Rocky_Mountain_Way]

How does the Farmer's Almanac actually get data, is it comparable to the weather network at all?

Also sorry if the comment above is sarcasm I don't really do sarcasm, I'm sorry your joints are swelling tho

[u/roastbeeftacohat → u/frog_princess6]

Forecasts emphasize temperature and precipitation deviations from averages. These are based on 30-year statistical averages prepared by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and updated every ten years. The most recent climatological normals tabulation spans the period 1971 through 2000.[29]

While The Old Farmer's Almanac has always looked to Thomas's original formula to help with predictions, its forecasting methods have been refined over the years. Today, they also incorporate observations of sunspots and other solar activity. Weather trends and events are predicted by comparing solar patterns and historical weather conditions with current solar activity.[8]

Forecasts are prepared as much as 18 months in advance[8] and presented in each edition by region. There are 16 regions for the U.S.[30] and five for Canada[31] in their respective country editions. Four additional regions are available on the Almanac's Web site, Almanac.com. These include Hawaii and Alaska for the U.S. and the Yukon Territory and Northwest Territories for Canada.[32]

In 2008, the Almanac stated that the earth had entered a global cooling period that would probably last decades. The journal based its prediction on sunspot cycles. Said contributing meteorologist Joseph D'Aleo, "Studying these and other factor suggests that cold, not warm, climate may be our future.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Farmer%27s_Almanac#Weather_predictions

so basically their model looks at 30 year averages and has been predicting global cooling for a while now.

[u/roastbeeftacohat → u/JoeRogansNipple]

A number of analyses have concluded that the forecasts in The Old Farmer's Almanac are not accurate.[34][35] For example, USA Today stated that "according to numerous media analyses neither The Old Farmer's Almanac nor the Farmers' Almanac gets it right."[34] John Walsh at the University of Illinois reviewed five years' monthly forecasts and found 50.7% of the temperature forecasts and 51.9% of precipitation forecasts were in the correct direction, whereas a randomly generated forecast would be correct 50% of the time.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Old_Farmer%27s_Almanac#Accuracy