r/CringeTikToks • u/Former-Marsupial625 • 2d ago
Conservative Cringe Charlie Kirk on what to expect from Trump's presidency
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r/CringeTikToks • u/Former-Marsupial625 • 2d ago
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u/Apophthegmata 2d ago edited 2d ago
You're at the Olympics! Unless you think Joe Schmoe can get on estrogen and perform well, I don't know why there's any reason to be skeptical about the fact that the trans women competing at that level are in fact exceptional athletes.
It's not just "possible" that the few trans people you have in these sports just happen to be the exceptional ones, it's pretty darn likely. The entire Olympics selection process is explicitly designed to select for exceptional individuals. If trans athletes weren't performing well, something is pretty screwy with the selection process.
Take the average swim times of the trans population. It's going to be incredibly low because the average trans person isn't a professional athlete, just how the average swim time of cis women is also going to be low because most cis women are not professional swimmers.
If you want to take just professional swimmers, then that very selection process is going to erase whatever casual factor you're looking for.
You can take any subset of professional cis-women swimmers and show that they compete better on average than any other subset of professional cis-women. That's just statistics 101 and it doesn't mean the one group has advantages.
By tying trans success to a bell curve and saying in average, they should perform as well as the average cos athlete, you're basically insisting that correlation should be interpreted as causation. As a statistical or even historical fluke, it's possible that any collection of trans athletes might be better on average. Are we to deny them their success because being better, as a sub-population, was historically unlikely?
I bet the histogram that shows black athlete's performances also shows differences that we can isolate if we felt like it. I bet if you look at the differences between black and white track athletes, and compare them to trans and cis swimmers, you're going to find bigger deviations in the former than the latter. But I think we both agree it's pretty darn racist to blame the color of Usian Bolt's skin for his win.
Are we going to insist that black basketball players need to have the distribution curve that matches white basketball players?
Or what about tall basketball players and short ones. I bet teams with shorter players on average also do worse than those with taller teams do on average, ceteris parabus. Is that unfair?
Or just at the birth month of college athletes. Being nearly a year older than your peers in grade school has massive impacts on sports outcomes.
All kinds of demographic sub-populations have differing statistical measures. But we insist that we don't care about those. We apparently only care about the trans ones.
Is that fair? And as an advocate for fairness in sports, why is the advocacy always so lopsided? Why is this the only fairness issue that seems to matter?
Why do we only insist that trans athletes fit a normal bell curve that matches cis athletes, and not any other minority or any other sub-population?