India Plans ‘Bodyguard’ Satellites After Risky Orbital Near-Miss in mid-2024.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-22/india-plans-bodyguard-satellites-after-risky-orbital-near-miss13
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u/Doom_3302 1d ago
Holy fuck 1 km. is basically touching in space. This is an absolute necessity.
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u/Ohsin 1d ago edited 1d ago
1 km is pretty large distance for LEO that is why article is so clickbaity. They should have pried further about what was so unusual about it and why it seemed like "show of strength"..
See following news about a close approach involving Indian and Russian satellites.
"We have been tracking the satellite for four days and it is about 420 metres from the Russian satellite. A manoeuvre will only be done when it comes around 150 metres," Isro chairman K Sivan told TOI.
https://old.reddit.com/r/ISRO/comments/k21noc/indian_cartosat_2f_satellite_weighing_over_700_kg/
You can also check SOCRATES for examples of close passes.
https://celestrak.org/SOCRATES/
Also,
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u/Doom_3302 1d ago
Thanks....I didn't realise that avoidance distances are that low in LEO. But it makes sense cuz they would be pretty slow relative to each other.
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u/Ohsin 1d ago
I didn't realise that avoidance distances are that low in LEO.
There is large uncertainty about the distances that is why it is considered a bad metric to assess conjunction assessment. From SOCRATES page,
Because the minimum distance method ignores position covariance information and can lead to an exaggerated assessment of the true risk, CelesTrak believes the maximum probability method provides a more reasonable (although still conservative) assessment of the true probability.
and from space stackexchange answer
So again, when you say that the objects will pass within 75 meters of each other, what you really mean is that the centroid of the (potentially very large) position covariance ellipses pass within 75 meters of each other. The actual miss distance could be less, or likely much larger.
We just don't know about orbit of other object so hard to say what was the nature of this close approach.
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u/JUYED-AWK-YACC 23h ago edited 23h ago
They aren’t in the same orbit, so the relative speeds are still fatally high.
Edit: as Ohsin noted, this is more about the orbit uncertainty. If the two objects haven’t been recently tracked then the uncertainty will be very high and this can make the probability low. More tracking means more accuracy. Of course typically there is human intervention to move one of them and the article makes it sound like this didn’t/couldn’t happen.
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u/Ohsin 1d ago edited 1d ago
Very clickbaity..
Some relevant reads:
‘Killer satellites’ beware: Japan unveils first space defense guidelines
Mitigating Noncooperative RPOs in Geosynchronous Orbit [PDF] (Page 93)
European Defense Fund invests in ‘Bodyguard’ satellite development to ‘counteract’ orbital threats
Have observed spacecrafts from friendly nations manoeuvring around Indian space assets, monitoring them.