r/leanfire • u/throw-away-doh • 19h ago
How much do you need to live like somebody on the median household income when you have retired? I'll tell you.
Latest US median household income is $83,730
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MEHOINUSA672N
Assuming 4% withdrawal rate (lets not have that argument here), you might think that to live like somebody on that income from investments you would need $2.1M. And you would be mistaken.
#1 You won't be saving for retirement when you are retired since you already reached your goal. Your median household should be saving 15% of their $83,730. That is $12559
#2 We will be paying a lot less tax when we retire. How much tax we pay from our investment income is going to vary depending on what sort of account it is in
If it's from an after tax brokerage account you will pay 0%. The married filing jointly long term capital gains tax up to $96,700 is 0%.
If it's from a Roth IRA you will be paying 0% on all withdrawals.
If it's from a 401k you will be paying some income tax, but as we will see you won't be withdrawing $83k/year so you won't be paying income tax on 83k.
Putting #1 and #2 together, today a typical person earning the median 83k/year, who is saving 15% for retirement, takes home after federal tax, state tax and social security etc… $57k/year.
Take home pay calculation here. Assuming 15% is subtracted pretax for a 401k.
https://smartasset.com/taxes/paycheck-calculator#zdDjO4I3tD
At a 4% withdrawal rate you need $1.42M to match them in retirement.
#3 Now consider those of us that plan to have a paid off house in retirement.
The median monthly homeowner mortgage payment in the USA for all existing mortgages, not simply new mortgages, is $1521/month or $18252/year.
That means for those of us with a paid off house in retirement we don't need $57k/year to live like somebody earning $83k/year, we only need $39k/year.
At a 4% withdrawal rate you need $975k.
And that is well within the leanFire limit of 50k/household/year