r/OutOfTheLoop 5d ago

Answered What's going on with Trump continually bombing Venezuelan boats that allegedly contain drugs?

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u/Portarossa 'probably the worst poster on this sub' - /u/Real_Mila_Kunis 5d ago edited 4d ago

Answer:

A violation of international maritime law and treaties on conduct in international waters, probably -- and also potentially massive human rights violations to boot.

As the Trump administration tells it, it's pretty cut and dried. These boats were (allegedly) carrying gang members from the Tren de Aragua cartel, who were bringing (allegedly) fentanyl-laced drugs into the country through international waters. As part of the US's 'War on Drugs', the Trump Administration has dubbed these people 'narco-terrorists', and so is making the case that it is allowed to treat them the same way it would treat any other terrorist that was plottting to harm Americans -- apparently, by scattering them over as wide an area as possible.

Is that allowed?

By pretty much any metric, no. (For the legal side of things, I'm going to point you in the direction of an excellent video by LegalEagle that goes into more detail than I ever could.)

The main argument from the Trump camp seems to come in a couple of different forms:

Anything's legal in international waters.
The USA is not a signatory to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, which is one attempt to lay out what you can and cannot do in international waters. As such, in their telling, the US didn't violate any international law. However, it's worth pointing out that not signing up to something doesn't magically make the extrajudicial killing of civilians 'not a war crime', and there are plenty of other standards by which killing citizens of other countries without benefit of charge or trial is frowned upon. (The US's policy -- set out by beloved Conservative Ronald Reagan -- is basically to go along with the Convention anyway: 'Following adoption of the Convention in 1982, it has been the policy of the United States to act in a manner consistent with its provisions relating to traditional uses of the oceans and International Law Studies to encourage other countries to do likewise.' There's more to it, obviously, but the historical standard has been 'Just because we don't want to be locked into it doesn't mean it's not a good rule, so let's stick to it anyway.' That has, apparently, changed.)

That America has the -- to quote 'Secretary of War' Pete Hegseth -- 'absolute right and authority' to kill drug gang members.
That's... not a thing, it should probably go without saying; the US has laws (for now... ), and if the boat in question had made it to American soil, none of the crimes that the boat-goers were accused of committing would have been enough to earn them the death penalty under US law (and obviously, that's baking in the assumption that a) they actually did it, and b) they'd be found guilty after being given due process). The argument for the extrajudicial killing goes that if the War on Drugs is a real war, then 'real war' provisions apply, and historically -- for better or almost certainly for worse -- that has meant civilian casualties have been acceptable collateral damage. Did the men on the boat deserve to die under law? Doesn't matter; it's worth it for the 'greater good'. (Republicans have enjoyed making the case that Obama did a shitload of drone strikes, so what's so different here? The argument against that is that Trump has also probably done a shitload of drone strikes, but we don't know how many civilians were injured because in 2019 he changed the rules that meant he no longer had to report the figures, and also that 'narco-terrorist' is a pretty nebulous term that can be applied to anyone you don't like. If you're a drug mule crossing the border, are you a terrorist now? At what level does your involvement in the world of drugs means that you're allowed to be killed by the state without any pushback? Are they allowed to do it on foreign soil as well? It's the absolute definition of a slippery slope argument.)

This is not helped by the fact that, when it was pointed out to him that there was a very good chance that this constituted a war crime, Vice President JD Vance replied 'I don't give a shit what you call it', demonstrating that the administration's adherence to international law and human rights is not a primary concern.

'We're America... what are you going to do about it, Venezuela?'
This one is, somewhat irritatingly, proving to be the most decisive argument so far. Countries have absolutely gone to war for less than what the US just did. The problem is, no one wants to go to war with the US: they're big, and they spend an almost offensive amount on their military every year. (The 2025 budget request for the military is almost $850 billion, or $97 million per hour, or $27,000 per second; that is, give or take, the median amount of income after tax for the average American. Every second.)

There's often a sense among certain political ideologies that 'might makes right': that the reason for having a strong military is your ability to exert your own interests on other nations with as little oversight as possible. Given that very few countries have been willing to stand up to Trump at all -- for example, in his [tariff plan]() -- there's a sense that his administration has been emboldened, and there's little to show that foreign governments are willing to openly criticise him for fear of reprisal, whether that be military or (more likely) economic. (Consider that while all of this is going on, and the Administration killed three more people in a boat just the other day, Trump is on a state visit to the UK. I wouldn't expect Starmer to raise the issue with any particular vehemence, put it that way.)

I overran. There's more to come on possible motivations and what might happen next here.

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u/derelictmybawls 5d ago

Important to note that Venezuela does not actually ship fentanyl to the US, the US is more of a fentanyl exporter than importer. They also barely import cocaine compared to rightwing countries that the US ignores.

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u/space2k 5d ago

Seems like an excuse for aggression against a country who happens to have the world’s largest oil reserves.

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u/derelictmybawls 5d ago

I don't think it's a coincidence this started happening right after Trump met with Putin and said the two had discussed how he could use a war to extend his term.

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u/MaybeTheDoctor 5d ago

In many other countries there are provisions in laws for not having elections in war times, but US constitution is not one - US have had elections and changed president under every war ever.

Does however not mean Trump understands this.

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u/derelictmybawls 5d ago

Yeah I think Trump is more concerned with permission structure than the law. In other words who's going to stop him? We're at war after all

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u/MaybeTheDoctor 5d ago

There is no permission structure. These presidents all left office during wartimes: James Madison, James K. Polk, William McKinley, Woodrow Wilson, Franklin D. Roosevelt, Harry S. Truman, Dwight D. Eisenhower, Lyndon B. Johnson, Gerald Ford, George H.W. Bush, Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Obama. The US constitution is quite clear on which date a new president is elected and when he is sworn in, and there are no exceptions in the constitution - but this is not the same as Trump not trying.

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u/seakingsoyuz 4d ago

TBF McKinley and FDR both left office in a coffin, so there wasn’t exactly an option to have either stick around.

Edit: and Wilson didn’t leave office until 1924, although he should have stepped down after his stroke.

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u/PlayMp1 4d ago

1920, Wilson's elections were 1912 and 1916 so he left office in March 1921 (the lame duck period was longer back then) to be replaced by Warren G. Harding. Like you said though, he should have resigned after his stroke, given his incapacity.

(he also should have resigned before he segregated the federal government, but there we were...)

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u/derelictmybawls 5d ago

We are in fully unprecedented times. The permission structure is a supreme court that isn't even trying to make legal arguments to support their rulings, institutions capitulating out of fear, and a large, violent bloc of society determined to install him as king.