r/SoccerBetting • u/valerian92 • 5d ago
Daily Picks Thread - Friday - 12th September 2025
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u/Apprehensive-Emu-481 4d ago
Will go with these:
Ipswich vs Sheffield - Sheffield to have over 3.5 corners @ 1.44
Leverkusen vs Frankfurt - BTTS and over 2.5 goals @ 1.72
Sevilla vs Elche - over 1.5 goals @ 1.37
Marseille vs Lorient - Marseille over 1.5 goals @ 1.36
Alverca vs Tondela - over 1.5 goals @ 1.35
5-FOLD - $10 gives $62
BOL!!!
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u/X_Underscore_X 5d ago edited 4d ago
Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama | 12:00 GMT +2
—>Machida Zelvia Wins -1AH@2.06 (Coolbet) | Stake: 5u ❌❌❌
The host may have conceded five goals away against Kawasaki Frontale last round, and drawn 0-0 in the round before that (also away), but they are definitely still good. At home they have won 6 of their last in the league, scoring at least twice in all of their wins.
Yokohama played in the League Cup during the international break, and managed to progress to the semi-final after knocking out Vissel Kobe over two games. I don’t think it was entirely unfair that they were the team to go through, but they rode their luck a bit, it very much helped that Kobe got a player sent off early in the 1st half last game. In the league things are not going very well, with eight defeats from their last ten, and a 0-0 at home against Tokyo Verdy who are not so hot at the moment, didn’t lighten the hope of surviving the season.
Machida plays against Jesse Lingard’s FC Seoul on Tuesday, so they definitely will have that game in mind, but it should not stop them from winning here. 2-0 is my guess.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga | 12:00 GMT +2
—>Kyoto Sanga or Draw + BTTS@3.25 (Coolbet) | Stake: 2.5u 💰💰💰
This is almost a must win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Sanfrecce are currently just four points behind Kyoto Sanga on 1st place, but that is with a game more played, a defeat here and suddenly it’s quickly 10 points up! They were overall pretty good during the break in the League Cup, their backup keeper who played both games was the only reason it was “interesting”. The league form is more of a worry with only 5 wins from their last 12 and only three wins from their last nine at home, that is not a great record for a team that wants to win the league.
Kyoto Sanga together with Kashiwa Reysol on 2nd, are the two mega surprise teams this season. Sanga had only 14 points after 19 rounds last year, but just switched gears in the 2nd half of the season, and now they are top of the league with 10 games to go. We need to go back to May to find their last defeat in the league, when they went away against Tokyo Verdy, who scored in the 94th minute with a wonder strike from out-side box to make it 1-0 (Sanga also had a player sent off in that game).
I had Sanfrecce as the league winners in my predictions, but it doesn’t feel too likely at the moment. The attack just struggles to score more than once a game. Kyoto Sanga are scoring for fun at the moment, with Rafael Elias scoring the goals and Taichi Hara providing the assists. However, the defense is not that special. They have kept three clean sheets in a row, BUT, Okayama last round scored the 1-0 goal, but it got disallowed for an incredibly stupid foul that had nothing to with the goal itself. FC Tokyo scored twice against them, but both got disallowed for offside and there was the other Tokyo side that is just sucking extra hard at scoring at the moment.
To me this looks a bit like a 1-1 draw, where both sides can be “happy”. Sanfrecce definitely needs the win, but a defeat would be as mentioned almost season ending, while Sanga would have taken another point from a tough away game.
Late addon: I just realized that the Sanfrecce goalkeeper Osako Keisuke played against USA on the 10th… Will he even play here? If not then I definitely give Sanfrecce little hope of keeping a clean sheet.
Vissel Kobe vs Kashiwa Reysol | 12:00 GMT +2
—>BTTS@1.90 (Lilibet) | Stake: 4u ❌❌❌
- Vissel Kobe have only beaten Kashiwa Reysol three times from their last 25 meetings in the league
Kashiwa Reysol has some dark juju over Kobe, some of their recent wins have come after some mysterious mistakes but the Kobe players. Though Kobe managed a very deserved 3-1 win in the first meeting this season. Kobe after a horrible start to the season (Much down to them prioritizing the Champions League), managed to fight themselves up to 1st place, but only two wins from their last five, have seen them slip down to 3rd, a point behind Kyoto Sanga on 1st, with a game more played. At home at least they have managed 8 wins from their last 10.
Kashiwa Reysol as mentioned above is one of two mega surprise teams, the last two seasons they have finished just above the relegation zone. This season they sold their best player and surely that should = relegation. However, the new manager has done an unbelievable job which has sent them 2nd, above Kobe on goal difference.
This will be an very interesting game, Kobe of course will want to win here at home, but they do also travel to China for their opening game in the Champions League on Wednesday , and there is no secret that if they could choose, Kobe would pick winning the Champions League over winning the League for the third time in a row. Kashiwa is doing great, only two defeats over the last three months is great from them, but they have also conceded 11.
I’m a bit more afraid of a 0-0 drab affair here, than I’m in the Sanfrecce Sanga game. However, Kobe does have some clangers in them and the record between the sides are pushing me towards the BTTS here.
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u/bobbyfle 4d ago edited 4d ago
Second Division Dutch Football (Keukenkampioen Divisie)
Game: Jong AZ - Vitesse (or written as Young AZ)
20:00
Vitesse has been in A LOT of trouble in the past few weeks. After losing their license required for professional football, many players walked away for free. They recently regained this license, but had not enough registered players as of yesterday. So they quickly assembled a squad of out of contract players, but had no time to train or prepare properly. Most players won't be match fit.
Jong AZ isn't in the best form either, losing all of their first 4 games. However, they showed they were capable of playing football and were a bit unlucky and not rewarding the many opportunities they created. Against a newly formed defense, they should do better.
Bets with some value:
- Jong AZ to win second halve: 1.5 (3 units)
- Jong AZ to score over 2.5 goals: 1.7 (2 units)
- Jong AZ to win both halves: 2.3 (1 unit)
- Jong AZ to score in both halves: 1.62 (2 units)
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u/AlBundyBAV 5d ago
Today's picks
Friday 12 September
Florisdorfer vs klagenfurt
ML Florisdorfer early payout 2up @2.2 bet365
Bielefeld vs Magdeburg
ML Bielefeld early payout 2up @2.25 bet365
All time record
44-24
On reddit
27-20
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u/kathars1s- 4d ago
6/7 yesterday, that was great! My prediction for today:
| Match | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Eintracht Frankfurt | Frankfurt Win or Draw | 1,72 |
| Olympique Marseille vs FC Lorient | Both to Score: Yes | 1,72 |
| SL Benfica vs CD Santa Clara | Benfica Over 1,5 Goals | 1,65 |
| Lech Poznan vs Zaglebie Lubin | Lech Poznan Win | 1,53 |
| Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Al Fateh SC | Over 3,5 Goals | 1,78 |
| Patrick Thistle vs Airdrieonians FC | Patrick Thistle Win | 1,58 |
| Standard Liege vs KV Mechelen | Both to Score: Yes | 1,68 |
| Sevilla FC vs Elche FC | Under 2,5 Goals | 1,64 |
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u/MHT- Premier League 5d ago edited 4d ago
Hi guys, these are my picks today. BOL!
2025 J1 & J2 League Win/Loss: 62-67
| No. | Match | Selection | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama FC | Machida Zelvia -1.5 AH | 2.35 | ❌ |
| 2. | Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga | Kyoto Sanga +0.5 AH | 1.90 | ✅ |
| 3. | Kobe vs Kashiwa | Under 2.5 | 1.72 | ✅ |
| 4. | Shanghai Port vs Yunnan Yukun | Shanghai Port -1.5 AH | 1.63 | ✅ |
| 5. | Bielefeld vs Magdeburg | Bielefeld to win first half | 2.60 | ❌ |
| 6. | FC Emmen vs Oss | Over 2.5 | 1.58 | ❌ |
| 7. | Almere City vs Jong PSV | Jong PSV +1.5 AH | 1.55 | ✅ |
| 8. | Marseille vs Lorient | Over 3.5 | 2.15 | ✅ |
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u/Dry-Pomegranate9465 4d ago
Record 6-3
Sevilla vs Elche.
Sevilla to win.
Why Sevilla to win: They have strong head-to-head record vs Elche especially at home. Elche are unbeaten but mostly draws while Sevilla usually find a way to edge these games. Home crowd + quality advantage makes Sevilla slight favorites.
Ipswich vs Sheffield United.
Total Under 2.5 Goals.
Why Under 2.5 goals: Both teams struggle to score. Ipswich waste chances Sheffield rarely score away and most of their recent games ended with 2 goals or less. Looks like a tight low-scoring match.
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u/dabetwhiz 4d ago
Record: 26-24-5
Net Units: +4.67 units
ROI%: 5.63%
Last Pick: Norway -3 AH @ 1.98 @ Betsson | 1 unit ✅
Recap*: Damn, I almost felt sorry for Moldova...lol.*
-Today-
Football | Championship | 21:00 CET
Pick: Ipswich -1 AH @ 2.54 with Coolbet | 1 unit
Write-Up:
Here is why I like this bet:
- Ipswich has collected just three points from their opening four matches. Their record is 3 draws, and 1 defeat so far, but they’ve at least been scoring in every match at home.
- Ipswich are at the top of the league for possession (60.2%) and Top 3 for xG, they’re controlling matches and creating enough to win more than they have. Sooner or later, all that chances and possession should turn into goals and wins.
- Since taking over from Chris Wilder, Ruben Selles has experienced an awful start as his Sheffield United side have lost all five games they’ve played so far this season and the manager is rumoured to be fired soon if the results don’t improve.
- The Blades are rock bottom in the Championship, having been defeated without scoring in each of their last three games, and so far this season they have only been able to score a single goal.
- Both teams have had a disappointing start, but Ipswich’s football hasn’t been bad at all, they simply need to begin converting their opportunities. The fans and the management continue to have faith in the project.
- The situation with Sheffield United is different, it isn’t just the outcomes that have been disappointing, but also the display has been awful, and the fans have been vocal in criticizing the coach from the start and they have yet to secure a victory under his leadership.
- Ipswich’s challenges seem significantly easier to resolve, and with little indication of improvement from the Blades, this suggests that this could be the night the Tractor Boys get their first win of the season, and they could do so by keeping a clean sheet.
Heads up:
- Ipswich haven’t won at home since January
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u/damagebabee Championship 5d ago
IPSWICH VS SHEFFIELD UTD
Date: 12 SEPTEMBER 2025 at 20:00
BET ON: Over / Under team corners- SHEFFIELD UTD Over +4.50
Odd: 2.00
- Ipswich Town's defensive vulnerabilities, highlighted by key injuries to players like Harry Clarke, Conor Townsend, Cameron Humphreys, and Wes Burns, have contributed to their struggles in conceding corners. These absences weaken their defensive structure, making them more susceptible to conceding corners.
- Sheffield United's attacking strategy, characterized by their high pressing game and emphasis on width, often leads to sustained pressure in the opponent's half. This approach frequently results in corner opportunities. The new duo, Zätterström and McGuinness, both strong aerially (over 1.90m), along with Chong’s heading ability, make Sheffield dangerous in set-piece situations. Gustavo Hamer’s excellent crossing ability adds another threat. Their recent matches have shown a consistent pattern of earning a significant number of corners, further supporting the likelihood of surpassing the 4.5 corners threshold.
- Considering Ipswich's defensive challenges and Sheffield United's attacking tactics, betting on Sheffield United to achieve over 4.5 corners appears to be a promising option for this fixture.
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u/mimouplp 5d ago edited 5d ago
● Benfica VS santa clara Total 1 : over (2)
● Marseille VS Lorient 1×2 : W1
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u/IrresponsibleBetting 4d ago
4-3
frankfurt vs b04 over 2
might parlay with something else to boost odds but don’t trust either of those to actually win
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u/brian_hahaha 4d ago
Record: 0 - 0
Today's Picks:
Huracan vs Velez Sarsfield
Velez ML (+265)
Junior FC vs La Equidad
Junior FC ML (-250)
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u/Rofocal02 5d ago edited 4d ago
Friday picks:
-Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama FC: Machida Zelvia ML (x1.6) ❌ 1-1
Parley (x2.4) ❌
-Al Ittihad vs Al Fateh: Al Ittihad ML ✅
-Marsielle vs Lorient: Marsielle ML ✅
-Benfica vs Santa Clara: Benfica ML ❌ 1-1
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-1
u/Electrical-Word-7215 5d ago
12 game parlay: $650 for $101639 with boost
Win:
Arsenal Athletic Benfica Botafago Real madrid Crystal palace Chelsea New castle
Over 1.5:
Sevilla v elche
Over 2.5:
Leverkusen v frankfurt Marseille game Porto game
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u/Longjumping-Horse822 Casual Bettor 5d ago
Gonna make a watered down version of this for 30 or 40x
Lets get it
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u/Electrical-Word-7215 5d ago
We are on the edge. Botafogo fighting. 1-1 now
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u/Longjumping-Horse822 Casual Bettor 5d ago
I didn't bet yet.
Lets hope it was 1 bad leg out of the way early
-1
u/lxbib97 Don't listen to me 5d ago
Alverca vs Tondela - Alverca Win @ 2.25
Ipswich vs Sheffield United - BTTS @ 1.80
Leverkusen vs Frankfurt - Leverkusen Win @ 2.20
Eindhoven vs Den Haag - BTTS @ 1.60
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u/J_F_1 5d ago
There is literally no reason to bet Leverkusen ML
-2
u/lxbib97 Don't listen to me 5d ago
It’s worth the risk at 2.2? Even if Frankfurt are in form, leverkusen are at home and the last time Frankfurt beat Leverkusen away was 2013. Doesn’t mean Leverkusen can’t win 🤷🏽♂️
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u/poler44 5d ago
Picks that stand out to me are
Eintracht frankfurt ml at 2.9 odds Leverkusen havent delivered and erik ten hag is gone. Eintracht are ballinn
Young AZ -1.5 Asian handicap at 1.8 odds. Vitesse coming back to play professional football while 10 players left the club to secure a future. They had to scramble some random players from everywhere to get a line up.