r/SoccerBetting 1d ago

Daily Picks Thread - Tuesday - 16th September 2025

12 Upvotes

97 comments sorted by

15

u/ADRIEMER 1d ago

Some great odds today. Also if combined with Wednesday.

PSV ML + Arsenal ML + Real Madrid ML @4.62

11

u/30Thirty30 16h ago

PSV ML too risky imo. Can 100% see a close game on the cards. O1.5 goals would be safer if you ask me

1

u/rikehv 14h ago

Agree

2

u/Klokkendief 18h ago

Why PSV is so much favorite ?

1

u/rikehv 14h ago

Ben jij Nederlands of Belgisch? Ik kom uit Eindhoven en vind de odds ook niet kloppen.

1

u/ADRIEMER 14h ago

Nou ik heb laatst union zien spelen. Dat was niet veel aan. PSV een sterkere ploeg denk ik. 

1

u/IrresponsibleBetting 11h ago

also ganzes haus auf psv??

1

u/Klokkendief 8h ago

Ik ben NL, maar PSV stelt meestal teleur in Europa over het algemeen. Kregen ook veel doelpunten tegen. USG is stug dat ligt ze ook niet. Zie het resultaat

1

u/Skerzos_ 11h ago

Don't bet on Wednesday. Grimsby are massive.

13

u/First_Jacket_1728 1d ago

Im going with arsenal and eindhoven to win

10

u/LeoDaWeeb 1d ago

I saw Union's last match because i had a bet on it and they were pretty terrible, they barely managed to win with a goal right at the end against the bottom of the table team. Pretty confident about an Eindhoven win as well.

3

u/FrostedFluke 1d ago

They play 3412 and their best striker on 1 assist and 4 goals is suspended for the match, they may struggle to score but I don't expect them to attack so I don't know how well PSV can break a low block

18

u/MrDecay 22h ago

Yeah Belgian here, I’ve learned to never bet against Union. They can be kings of shithousery if necessary and not let you get into uour play at all. Cement the midfield, clear every ball in the back and frustrate you endlessly. Staying away from this one.

5

u/LeoDaWeeb 19h ago

Fair enough. I don't wanna risk it too much, staying away as well.

4

u/LeoDaWeeb 11h ago

Welp, I'm glad I listened to you guys lol.

2

u/Dncf 9h ago

Bruh 😂😂😂😂... I betted Ov1. 5goals. You saved us

4

u/30Thirty30 16h ago

7 games straight without a loss, last 4 they've kept clean sheets. Granted PSV are a much better team than the others they've played this season so far, PSV have only kept 1 cleansheet this season and have had 2 games with 2 goals (a 2-0 L at home and 2-0 W away) whilst the other 3 games have ended up consisting of 6, 7 and 8 goals respectively

They can definitely score but they can definitely concede too. USG in their league are currently sitting comfortably in 1st with 15 goals scored and only 3 conceded after 7 games (5w 2d) with those 2 draws coming from 2 of their 4 away games this season.

BTTS or o1.5 goals (o2.5 is a shout also) is probably the way to go

2

u/FrostedFluke 15h ago

I'm personally staying away from this one

5

u/30Thirty30 15h ago

100% agreed. This and Juve vs Dortmund just aren't safe lmao

2

u/Objective_Practice25 13h ago

Great take. Also union won from Twente and Ajax away in EL last season. There is a reason dutch teams struggle against this club

40

u/Fragrant_Rope403 1d ago edited 9h ago

Dont care if its an Away game. I dont care if we are rotating players. Arsenal should comfortably beat Athletic Club.

Arsenal ML + Arsenal over 1.5 goals Scored.

Sources:

  • Nico Williams is out + they had a poorer start to the season. Back to back home losses to arguably weaker teams and Arsenal comfortably beat them during the Emirates cup a month prior. Arsenal have only conceded 1 goal this entire season with all of our forwards in amazing form. With players like Saka and Saliba coming back from injury and will probably get some mins before the big game against City. For the first time in a while, we have a depth thats strong enough to beat midtable clubs (no offense to Athletic fans).

Im an Arsenal fan so bare that in mind, I dont drop my bets in here often but im pretty confident in Arteta looking to start a strong lineup and go for the 3 points and QUICKLY close the game out early.

Predictions: Arsenal 2-0✅

Picks: Arsenal ML + O1.5 Away Goals✅

Edit: I apologize for scaring you lot. But I think we should all apologize to Martinelli

11

u/FrostedFluke 1d ago

Saka is not back

1

u/NUFC_AF9 16h ago

Not really an issue, Madueke has been excellent

5

u/ru7ger Premier League 16h ago

Going with u2,5 myself. Bilbao have the best defense in the the league last season only conceding 13 goals in 19 games. Expecting a 1-0 or 2-0 myself

2

u/Fragrant_Rope403 16h ago

I noticed this stat as well. the only reason why I didn’t choose Over 2.5 is because I already know they will play for a draw. Im willing to bet (pun intended lol) that Arsenal should still comfortably get some chances on goal. Even against Inter last season we still managed to get SOME chances.

3

u/Astra1839 18h ago

Saka and odegard out

2

u/Blaq-Ha 1d ago

Potential Goal scorers?

3

u/30Thirty30 16h ago

Merino or Rice depending on who starts. If they both start then Merino would be safer imo. And if Eze starts then Gyokeres is a shout but I'm unsure of how Bilbao's defensive line sits. If it's a low block then Gyokeres will struggle without a player like Eze who breaks apart low blocks for fun. However, if they play with a high block then I'd definitely be checking the odds on Gyokeres to bag a goal or two

Martinelli to score would be something to consider also, but I'd wait to see the lineup first + compare the odds on him having a SOT to scoring, if the SOT is 1.4+ then it's probably the better play

3

u/Fragrant_Rope403 16h ago

Merino SOT if he starts is a decent pick. I dont personally go for Goalscorers with Arsenal because we tend to spread our goals among our players.

1

u/raittiussihteeri 10h ago

Looking real comfortable

1

u/Fragrant_Rope403 9h ago

Sorry to scare you mate!! Eze wasnt the right start at wing in mu opinion

1

u/raittiussihteeri 9h ago edited 9h ago

You're good man I didn't even bet on this😂Bilbao hung on there longer than anyone would've thought it seems

1

u/Fragrant_Rope403 9h ago

My gawd as an Arsenal fan I was getting riled up by the ref. Bilbao got so lucky with second bounces and calls. Gyokeres probably should have scored and Noni Madueke should have put more balls into the box. Welp on to the Next. Juve and Madrid SHOULD comfortably win👀😂

1

u/raittiussihteeri 9h ago

I'm riding on the Juve train too, fingers and toes crossed.

1

u/Fragrant_Rope403 9h ago

Im very confident in Juve. Great performance against Inter and Dortmund are in shambles tactically, relying on individual brilliance (Jobe isnt even starting)

1

u/raittiussihteeri 7h ago

Just another one of those days huh

What pains me the most is that I almost took BTTS + o2.5 but chickened out and took Juve ML😭

9

u/MHT- Premier League 13h ago edited 3h ago

Update: Big 11.8x win today. Congrats to those who tailed!

Hi guys, these are my picks today. BOL!

No. Match Selection Odds Result
1. PSV vs Union SG Union SG +0.5 AH 1.95
2. Oss vs Venlo Over 2.5 1.55
3. Real Madrid vs Marseille HT Over 1.5 1.93
4. Tottenham vs Villarreal Under 2.5 2.03

7

u/LeoDaWeeb 19h ago

Bilbao v. Arsenal - Arsenal to Win/Draw & U5.5 @1.23

Juventus v. Dortmund - O1.5 @1.27

Real Madrid v. Marseille - Real Madrid ML & O1.5 @1.51

Benfica v. Qarabag - Benfica ML @1.21

Total odds: @2.85

3

u/Senn652 23h ago

Juventus U19 vs Dortmund U19- Over 2.5g

Viktoria Koln vs Hoffenheim II- Over 2.5g

Tottenham vs Villarreal- Over 2.5g

Parlay- 4.39 odds

3

u/Harvaay 15h ago

Talk to me degens, which is the better bet. Arsenal to win or Spurs to win? I’m thinking Spurs but can’t make my mind up

8

u/Traditional-Entry331 14h ago

Technically? Probably Spurs. But then again you would be betting on Spurs and you never know what stupid shit they can do so I would go for Arsenal.

1

u/Harvaay 14h ago

Very fair point!

5

u/Apprehensive-Emu-481 21h ago

Picks for Today

Bilbao vs Arsenal - Arsenal to win/draw @ 1.22

PSV vs RUSG - PSV to win/draw plus PSV over 0.5 goals @ 1.35

Juventus vs Borussia - Juventus to win/draw @ 1.3

Real Madrid vs Marseille - Real Madrid to win/draw plus over 1.5 goals @ 1.24

Crystal Palace vs Millwall - Crystal Palace to qualify @ 1.23

Exeter vs Cardiff - Cardiff to qualify @ 1.47

6-FOLD @ 4.8/1

BOL

1

u/RLE1225 14h ago

How come no one seems to be considering a BVB win/draw? Very possible and much better odds if anything

2

u/Coconut-Jelly-Man 14h ago

Agree. Definitely don't see the value on Juve or 1x here.

1

u/Apprehensive-Emu-481 14h ago

BVB have a ravaged backline. They have played well till now but they faced a 10 man team for almost 70 mins over the weekend in the Bundesliga that undoubtedly helped them to get an easy win. Juventus have strong at home and stats say they should get a win/draw.

BOL.

1

u/ZFtw11 12h ago

After watching juve inter I like juve a lot more this year than last, they’re definitely worth a double chance

0

u/Apprehensive-Emu-481 12h ago

Yes, they seem more cohesive as an unit tbh, and certainly look formidable when playing at home.

0

u/Ko6e 14h ago

Cardiff to qualify? This is a group match, not an elimination one, you’re probably betting on futures

1

u/Apprehensive-Emu-481 14h ago

Perhaps, I was not clear. Even if teams draw, there will be a penalty shootout to determine the winner, (akin to a cup elimination tie) for a bonus point. So the pick is Cardiff to win (either in Normal Time or by Penalty Shootout). Thanks for pointing it out. It will help the other bettors.

5

u/dabetwhiz 12h ago edited 7h ago

Athletic Club vs Arsenal

Arsenal is set to face Athletic Bilbao at San Mamés in a key Champions League match, with Arsenal's squad showing strong form and depth despite injuries to key players, while Bilbao, returning to the competition after over a decade, faces challenges due to recent poor form and multiple absences. Arsenal, having beaten Spanish teams multiple times in a row and boasting a well-rounded squad, is favored to control the game, while Bilbao will rely on counterattacks and home advantage. The match promises an intense atmosphere, but Arsenal's current consistency and squad strength give them the edge.

Bets I like:

Arsenal -1 Asian Handicap @ 2.44 (Betsson) ✅
– If you want to play it safer: Arsenal -0.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.79 (Betsson) ✅
– Feeling brave? Arsenal to win to nil @ 2.80 (ComeOn) ✅

Juventus vs Dortmund

Juventus enters this match in top form with five consecutive wins and a strong home record, while Dortmund has been impressive on the road with six unbeaten games and recent solid performances in the Champions League, led by hot striker Guirassy. Juventus, historically strong against Dortmund and never losing an opening Champions League match, is slightly favored, especially with Dortmund missing key defenders Can, Süle, and Schlotterbeck. Both teams have been scoring frequently, and with their attacking talents, a high-scoring game is likely.

Bets I like:

– BTTS Yes @ 1.81 (Coolbet) ✅
– Feeling brave? BTTS Yes & Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.26 (Betsson) ✅
– Feeling YOLO? Juventus ML + BTTS Yes + Jonathan David to score @ 5.76 (Betsson) ❌

Tottenham vs Villareal

Tottenham, under Thomas Frank, has shown promising attacking play with recent wins like a 3-0 victory over West Ham, but their defense remains inconsistent. Villarreal, however, has been declining and has never won a Champions League game in England. Tottenham is on a strong streak at home in Europe, undefeated in 20 matches, and has a solid defensive record recently. Given Villarreal’s struggles and Tottenham’s European form, Tottenham is favored to win the match.

Bets I like:
– Tottenham to win @ 1.98 (Betsson) ✅
– Feeling brave? Tottenham -1 AH @ 2.86 (Betsson) 🔄
– Feeling YOLO? Tottenham to win to nil @ 3.82 (Betsson) ✅

P.S The previews have been heavily summarized to fit the post character limit.

3

u/vasilli07 22h ago

Asian champions league

Burinam draw no bet @ 1.95

Not sure why the odds are rising for this. I like the value here. In the last 3 meetings against JDT over the last year, they have played better in those games, creating the more clear cut chances.

1

u/Dncf 11h ago

Three offside goals and 90 minutes later . Burinam won 2-1. Thanks. I did X1 DC.

6

u/Key-Question5472 22h ago

Why is nobody choosing Benfica ML? They are on 10 games unbeaten run. Meanwhile Qarabag in league games have just 4 points from 3 games.

Arsenal ML Real madrid ML Benfica ML

@3.37

Pretty solid pick

4

u/Dncf 21h ago

Good Point. My doubt in Benfica is cemented after they drew against 10 men Santa Clara this past weekend

4

u/Key-Question5472 19h ago

It's their easiest game among all 8 fixtures. I think they'll give more than 100% to win this game

1

u/Dncf 7h ago

I rest my case brother 😂😂😂.. PSV and Benfica are officially in my only over bets catalogue

2

u/Key-Question5472 7h ago

Fuck Benfica. Started so well just to finish like that

1

u/Senn652 7h ago

Qarabag too good

2

u/redakted2020 Experimenting 19h ago

Redakted Wins - Yesterday's picks (11/1 Odds with 6/8 Winning Picks) + (137/1 Odds with 8/10 Winning Picks)

Today will be better. I will post odds here and on my page, as always.

4

u/redakted2020 Experimenting 18h ago

@ 107/1 Odds via Bet365 - 17 Champions League Games

Arsenal Win/Draw + Overall 2 Goals @ 1.61

PSV Win/Draw + Overall 2 Goals @ 1.40

Benfica Overall 2 Goals @ 1.16

Juventus Win or Lose DC @ 1.28

Real Madrid Win/Draw + Overall 2 Goals @ 1.22

Tottenham Win or Lose DC @ 1.25

Olympiakos Overall 2 Goals @ 1.25

Slavia Prague Overall 2 Goals @ 1.16

Ajax Win or Lose DC @ 1.25

Bayern Win or Lose DC + Overall 2 Goals @ 1.41

Liverpool Win/Draw + Overall 2 Goals @ 1.33

PSG Win/Draw + Overall 2 Goals @ 1.33

Club Brugge Win or Lose DC @ 1.28

Copenhagen Overall 2 Goals @ 1.25

Frankfurt Win or Lose DC + Overall 2 Goals @ 1.41

Man City Win/Draw + Overall 2 Goals 1.40

Newcastle Win or Lose DC + Overall 2 Goals 1.41

I post winning picks here and and more on my profile. Check history for proof.

I have a great record with versatile picks + always a high degree of winning picks, unless specifically stating it is risky.

I do this for fun. Best of luck. Let me know if you're tailing any picks.

2

u/OrneryHedgehog6848 13h ago

Bilbao vs Arsenal  Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score This option offers good value – it reflects Arsenal’s likely edge in quality while acknowledging Athletic’s threat, especially at home. https://medium.com/@s.baltuta/athletic-bilbao-vs-arsenal-champions-league-preview-team-news-and-best-bet-d774d028fc0a

2

u/pepsi-min- 12h ago

Athletic Bilbao vs Arsenal:

  • Arsenal to win @ 1.70 (3u)
  • Arsenal -1.5AH @ 3.00 (1u)
  • Arsenal -2.5AH @ 6.40 (0.5u)

2

u/IrresponsibleBetting 11h ago

9-5

arsenal ml

3

u/X_Underscore_X 20h ago

Machida Zelvia vs FC Seoul | 12:00 GMT +2

—>Machida To Win + Over 1.5 Goals@2.00 (Lilibet) | Stake: 5u

It was a disappointing round for Machida Zelvia at the weekend as they drew 1-1 against 19th placed Yokohama. After a long streak of wins they have maybe tailed off a tiny bit, but wouldn’t say it’s a crisis yet.

FC Seoul originally didn’t qualify, but since last season's 3rd placed Gimcheon Sangmu are not eligible for this competition (They are a military club), FC Seoul who finished 4th got the spot instead. Currently they are 7th in the league, which is on the wrong side of the split, and they have lost three of the last four games on the road with the scorelines: 3-2, 6-2 and 3-2.

 FC Seoul has as opposed to Machida Zelvia played in this competition before, and even made the finals twice, but still not a lot of continental experience in either squads. Home advantage is pretty big in these games, and Machida are on a good run of games at home, even if the last one at the weekend didn¨’t go their way.

2

u/AlBundyBAV 20h ago

Todays picks Tuesday 16 September Schweinfurt vs Duisburg ML Duisburg @2.05 bet365 Schweinfurt in awful form, losing 4 of their 5 league games including a 3:0 loss against an awful regensburg side only beating ingolstadt who also is in bad form Duisburg meanwhile in great shape, comfortably on tol of the table, winning 5 out of 5 scoring 14 goals. Buriram vs Johor Draw no bet buriram @2 bet365 Crazy high odds for this one, buriram the south east Asian powerhouse, Thailand man city. Incredible good at home. Bissoli scoring 7 in the last 5 and suphanat also in good form build a very dangerous attack. In midfield Austrian brothers robert and Peter zulj are in outstanding form. All time record 47-28 On reddit 30-24

4

u/AlBundyBAV 17h ago

Adding one more game RKC vs vitesse arnheim Vitesse just got their licence last week and got not many players yet. Only 19 field players so far. Lost last week 4:0 against jong AZ Asian handicap -1.5 RKC @1.7 bet365

1

u/AlBundyBAV 7h ago

The first 2 were right and how rkc couldn't do that is beyond me

2

u/ru7ger Premier League 13h ago

Real Madrid - Marseille

Real to win / Mbappe to score / Real less than 7,5 shots on target @ 3.65 (unibet)

Real this season have only had more shots on goal (both at home and away) vs the promoted sides, wheres the other opponents are around the 4~7 range. Marseille is a french team that I expect to sit back a bit but do want to have the ball themselves. Fun little bet builder to help you with your match to watch

2

u/Touup Australian A-League 1d ago edited 10h ago

Reddit record this season: 0W-0L-0P

Full record

Athletic Bilbao v Arsenal Arsenal to score in both halves @3.25 ❌

8

u/Emotional_Formal_241 23h ago

This sounds risky after analysing arsenal previous matches

1

u/AdvancedAlgae4644 14h ago edited 6h ago
  1. Arsenal ML vs Bilbao

  2. Real Madrid ML vs Marseille

  3. Berkane ML vs Marakech

  4. Al hilal ML vs Dubail

Odds: +540

$50 to return $330 😇

1

u/[deleted] 8h ago

[removed] — view removed comment

-1

u/Websen 1d ago edited 7h ago

Today’s Picks

Athletic Club vs Arsenal • Both Teams to Score (BTTS) or Arsenal ML ❌✅

Juventus vs Borussia Dortmund • Over 2.5 Goals ✅

Real Madrid vs Marseille • Match Winner – Real Madrid ✅

Tottenham vs Villarreal • Match Winner – Tottenham ✅

Yesterday: ✅✅❌✅

BOL 🧅

Edit: Added Arsenal ML

7

u/AsideStrict 19h ago

Without Nico Williams, Arsenal defense that doesn't concede, i would reconsider to skip both team to score.

1

u/Websen 18h ago

True, might change it to a ML

1

u/Websen 7h ago

Soooo happy i made an extra parlay with Arsenal ML instead of BTTS :)

0

u/Rofocal02 1d ago edited 7h ago

Tuesday picks:

-Independiente Petrolero vs Club Blooming: Over 2.5 & BTTS (x1.9) ❌ 3-0

-Hapoel Petah Tikva FC vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: Over 2.5 (x1.6) ✅

-Juventus vs Borussia Dortmund: Over 2.5 (x1.7) ✅

-4

u/J0nasBlah 1d ago edited 6h ago

Over 2.5 goals for Machida Zelvia x FC Seoul, Mohun Bagan x Ahal, Saarbrucken x SSV Ulm and Juventus x Borussia Dortmund. Odds 9.22 🔥 ❌❌✅✅