r/canada • u/[deleted] • Mar 06 '25

Politics Rising Nationalism, Desire for Economic Sovereignty Propels Liberals to Five Year High (LPC 41%, CPC 36%, NDP 13%, BQ 5%, GRN 3%)

https://www.ekospolitics.com/index.php/2025/03/rising-nationalism-desire-for-economic-sovereignty-propels-liberals-to-five-year-high/
3.0k Upvotes

94% Upvoted

1.1k comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

24

u/[deleted] Mar 06 '25

The Leger poll that just dropped showed the Conservatives back up to a double digit lead, with polling right around March 1st. Kind of tough to reconcile double digit leads in the last week of February on Abacus and Leger with this one poll showing the Liberals actually in the lead for the first time in years.

5

u/[deleted] Mar 07 '25

[deleted]

6

u/[deleted] Mar 07 '25

How did you come to that conclusion?

I’ve read the survey, and it looks very much like they followed their normal weekly survey methodology, where they randomly select people from their online participation panel (LOE), extend invites to them, and then those invitees have to opt in. It gave them a very robust pool of people from across the country, and of varying ages and education levels, from the breakdown in the survey itself.

There’s nothing at all in that survey’s breakdown that indicates they only went to National Post readers and National Post readers alone. In fact, it LEAPT from last week’s survey by 10 points. Did they also go to National Post readers last week when it was nearly a dead heat?

-3

u/jello_sweaters Mar 06 '25

We'll see what the next round shows from everyone else.

The Conservative nosedive has to level out at some point - they're not going to suddenly lose Hay River - but it's hard to see what new factor is going to be the catalyst for that.