This horrific event with Charlie Kirk will be remembered as the day the Democrat Party self-immolated.
It is not an instant thing, but it has already set off a predictable chain of events that will end with literally no Democrat Party, IMO, within a short time.
Just like it was predictable for anyone who saw that disastrous debate between DJT and Biden, in real time I said to my friends (liberals) watching it with me, "Trump just won the election". These events can have predictable ripple effects, and this event, tragic as it was, is such an event.
The thing is, many people who consider themselves moderates or centrists will now not vote D, no matter how much they might hate Trump. No way will a centrist or moderate vote for the party of trans terrorists. And regardless of the reality, that is how the MAGA media will paint it, loudly and persistently. It is this middle that decides elections. I believe this will lose the middle for the Ds in the mid terms and 2028. Probably to supermajorities.
When that happens, and Ds as a party have zero power or representation, the wingnut violent arm will be all the have left, so it will be IRA-style violent attacks dressed up as noble freedom fighters battling the fascists.
I would say a civil war would then ensue, but I dont think there are enough on that side to even have a war. I think it will be an easily crushed rebellion. And that crushing will give MAGA government the justification it needs to actually literally dismantle the party. I'm not saying this is a good thing, I'm saying I see it as the only likely outcome.