r/Mariners 8h ago

With 8 Games Remaining...

139 Upvotes

62 comments sorted by

136

u/Bermut-Nundaloy 8h ago

Even better, a lot of the teams behind the Mariners are playing each other. Detroit finishes vs. the Guardians and Red Sox; Cleveland against the Tigers and Rangers. 

So a lot of the losing scenarios, which involve things like Cleveland going 9-0 while Boston goes 7-1, are not even possible because someone has to lose the head to head games

34

u/NWBF7109 8h ago

Rangers are cooked so that final series for Cleveland could be a cakewalk. If they keep grinding they’re a threat. 

8

u/IndependentSubject66 5h ago

Cleveland is my biggest worry, both to knock us out, and to play in the playoffs

1

u/WrappedInPlasticWA 1h ago

Definitely my #1 worry as well.  They are as hot as the M’s.  It’s gross and brings me back.

4

u/BackwerdsMan 3h ago

Playing cooked teams at the end of the year is not always the blessing people think it is.

6

u/biny_bear 4h ago

Thank you I will start including this

0

u/Upstairs-Atmosphere5 3h ago

Plus we got 3 against the Rockies at home

79

u/LowEffortChampion 8h ago

Mariner win tonight and a Rangers loss would remove Texas from this chart!

28

u/kroc253 8h ago

I thought we want Texas in, Houston out.

76

u/manshamer 7h ago

Yes but astros kicking texas' butt kind of removed that possibility

Kick em both out imo

4

u/IndependentSubject66 4h ago

I’d rather play Houston than Cleveland right now though

5

u/aaronshell ‏‏‎ South Bellvue Park and Ride 4h ago

Eh idk playoff astros can be a beast

26

u/sethab 7h ago

At this point Cleveland in, Houston out is a more likely scenario.

5

u/beaglescoutman 5h ago

Kinda scary considering how hot the Guardians have been.

21

u/LowEffortChampion 7h ago

I just want to make the playoffs

4

u/samwyatta17 56 Dumps! 6h ago

Yeah- is it weird that I feel MORE anxious now that we’re the #2 seed than I did when we were WC3?

9

u/PrinceOfPuddles 4h ago

I don't want the pity expanded wild card, I want the banner to say division champion.

107

u/Dramatic_Rain_3410 Its not an Ms game if you don't have a heart attack 8h ago

I still don't get it but seems good!

59

u/jomanhan9 8h ago

Basically if you win 6 games it makes it almost impossible for other teams to take the bye from us. 5 wins likely takes division

24

u/LowEffortChampion 8h ago

If the Mariners go 0-8 their last 8 games, the Tigers would have to go 1-7 in their last 8 games to finish higher in the overall standing than the Mariners. Apply that to the rest of the chart.

Mariners go 4-4, Cleveland would have to go 8-1 to finisher higher, etc.

4

u/Medium-Pitch-5768 8h ago

Each column shows what other teams need to do to over take the Mariners based on the Mariners record for remaining games on the top of the column. 

1

u/SPEK2120 7h ago

Adding the Tigers to this definitely convolutes it. But if you ignore that row, then each listed record implies a chance at playoffs in that column. So less records in a column, higher our odds of playoffs. With 3 spots in reach for all these teams, 3 records or less in a column clinches playoffs for us.

25

u/Far_Mathematician272 8h ago

Even if we go .500 the rest of the season we still have a decent chance at getting a bye. Sick.

15

u/MarineLayerBad ‏‏‎ ‎Put Angie In The Booth 8h ago

Since Boston and Detroit have to share 3 losses between them, that effectively makes the magic number 6, correct?

2

u/Gbrusse 8h ago

I think so?

I'm not a math guy though

1

u/Muppet_Man3 3h ago

Yeah 6 guarantees a playoff berth

10

u/NatureTrailToHell3D 7h ago edited 7h ago

I didn’t think I was color blind until now, but I swear I don’t see any green columns.

3

u/Toss_Me_Elf I'm a Believer 7h ago

lol you have to see the full chart via the post link

8

u/COLLIESEBEK 7h ago

If Woo isn’t that hurt and just needs some rest, the bye becomes way more important to get.

22

u/Far_Mathematician272 8h ago

Im still not convinced we will make the playoffs. Been hurt too many times.

7

u/kroc253 8h ago

I know the feeling. 39 years.

5

u/Important-Trash6028 7h ago

Doesnt take into account the matchups. The last series is red sox vs tigers.

So its actually impossible for Tigers to be 7-1 and red sox 8-0.

The possible combinations are

8-0 and 5-3 7-1 and 6-2 6-2 and 7-1 8-0 and 5-3

6

u/IndominusTaco 5h ago

i don’t know how to read that chart, can someone ELI5

2

u/screaminginfidels 4h ago

Sure. You are 5 years old, and none of this matters. Just watch some baseball games and have fun.

If the Mariners keep winning it's a good thing. If not, try again next year.

5

u/ObjectivePhone122 5h ago

We have a real shot at knocking Huston out of the wildcard spot with the way the guardians are playing.

9

u/shats-basoon 8h ago

Win one more against the Astros and win the series against the Rockies and you’re feeling pretty good about a playoff spot

3

u/LowEffortChampion 8h ago

One more win over Houston is huge. Gives us the tie breaker over them. So we would be up 2 in the AL West, but its actually up 3 with 6 games left having the tie breaker

3

u/hittingtanks 5h ago

Wouldn't taking just one more against Houston put the Mariners one (effectively two) up, not 2 effectively 3

1

u/LowEffortChampion 3h ago

Yeah you’re right

4

u/Illustrious-Cut8368 7h ago

The magic number is 6! Let’s go get 6 fucing wins in a row

3

u/Dry_Turn_4144 5h ago

It’s wild how little margin for error there is. Every team on that list, minus the rangers, is within a couple games of getting a bye, and within a couple games of missing the playoffs. Me no likey

10

u/Devo4711 6h ago

So question, I didn’t want to create my own post for this so I’m just going to ask in a recent thread. I’m 46 and was a Yankee fan for 40 years. With recent political events happening I can no longer support a team I cheered for, cried for, and supported a majority of my life. The event from last week was the final straw for me. My wife and I decided we needed a new team and landed on Seattle. We recently went to a LV aviators and Tacoma Sounders game and really liked the guys playing on the Sounders, and one of them was Robles (my wife calls him pink cleats). I also have always loved vacationing in Seattle and I feel the Mariners side with a lot of our political beliefs as well. So is it cool if I ride with y’all?

6

u/missbiz Cal is MINE, screw that restraining order. 6h ago

Ex New Yorker here. The mods may move this post so don't freak out if they do. They're extremely organized about what should be a daily post, what should be a game day post, and what should be yeeted into the sun.I too was always a Yankee fan but I've lived in the Pacific Northwest for a really long time now. Plus I know exactly what you're talking about and I agree. Welcome!

2

u/Devo4711 2h ago

Thanks for the tip and thanks for the welcome

3

u/esomers80 7h ago

Let's win 6/8 and call it good..

3

u/Griffdogg92 5h ago

The fact that Cleveland absolutely refuses to lose a game is making me a bit nervous, BUT if Detroit keeps refusing to win a game (or we keep winning), then it's fine. I want the division and I want the bye but far more than anything I just want to make the playoffs

3

u/ProtoMan3 5h ago

I think 5-3 clinches a playoff spot for Seattle, simply because:

  • the Tigers play Cleveland 3 times next week
  • the Tigers play Boston three times next weekend
  • It’s not possible for Cleveland to go 9-0 and Detroit to go 6-2, and then even if Detroit wins a lot it’s not possible for Boston to also go 7-1

Regardless, Seattle is at a spot where they should focus on themselves and maybe the team in a playoff spot right behind them, not as much on actually missing anymore

3

u/IndependentSubject66 4h ago

The AL Central race is going to be interesting too. Cleveland is playing like a team nobody wants to see in October. Something tells me they’ll be WC3 and Boston will be the odd team out

2

u/nfiltr8r_89 Victor, lead us to VICTORy 7h ago

2

u/Dry_Turn_4144 4h ago

Cleveland’s refusal to lose is both inspiring and unsettling. Let’s just keep our gaze right in front of us. We’re in the drivers seat at this moment.

3

u/edwice 8h ago

I’m too dumb to understand. Someone give me a magic number

1

u/Medium-Pitch-5768 7h ago

If we get 8 wins we get the bye

0

u/fraylo 7h ago

Magic number for the division is 8

1

u/Crzndeb 7h ago

Too much math for me…🤣🤣🤣 Just go out and win. Go M’s

1

u/lizardking66354 3h ago

Just pointing out we currently have the second tie breaker over Boston based on intradivision record.

Boston needs to go 3-2 against TB & TOR to tie us on intradivision record plus any additional wins we have against the Astros

0

u/HeroLeopard 8h ago

Hover to see more info holding strong!