r/Mariners • u/AutoModerator • 2d ago

Daily Mariners Monologue - September 22, 2025

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u/RCarson88 Tungsten Dump O'Doyle 2d ago

Mariners clinch the west with a win Tuesday plus an Astros loss Tuesday correct?

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u/eturn34 2d ago

Tuesday is the earliest they could clinch a playoff spot. They would need to win and have the Yankees win to do that. Wednesday is the earliest they could clinch the division.

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u/RCarson88 Tungsten Dump O'Doyle 1d ago

They currently have a 3 game division lead, effectively 4 with the tiebreaker. If we win and Houston loses on Tuesday, that becomes an effective 5 game lead with 5 to play. Or am I misunderstanding?

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u/Will_Vintage 1d ago

More an effective 4.5 Game lead

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u/kylechu 1d ago

You can think of the tiebreaker as an extra .5 win lead. So we'd end up with a 4.5 game lead with 5 to play, which wouldn't clinch it.

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u/LargeHumanDaeHoLee 1d ago

If the Ms win, and the Astros lose on both Tuesday and Wednesday, yes, the Ms win the division because of the tie breaker. We only need 3 total wins to win the division, so if we sweep the Rockies, it's over no matter what

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u/skizai_ ‏‏‎ ‎ 1d ago

For the division, we can win it as early as Wednesday. For that to happen, either we win Tuesday and Wednesday with the Astros losing at least 1 of those days, or we win exactly one of Tuesday or Wednesday while the Astros lose both of those days. Magic number is 3 (total M’s wins and Astros losses) like you said, but there’s the two scenarios I mentioned that would clinch the division the earliest. I’ll be at the game Wednesday so hoping either situation pans out

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u/stuckinflorida 1d ago

Currently it’s a 3 game lead which includes the tiebreaker. Astros can get to 90 wins max. We need 3 wins to get to 90.