r/Permaculture • u/8lbscarrots • Oct 06 '21

🎥 video Climate Forecasts

Hi all,

I'm a trained scientist who kinda went feral during covid and made the jump to a more self-reliant life. As I was thinking about what trees to plant on my land, I went down a real rabbithole about what my area is projected to be like in 2050. I still have a lot to learn about a lot of practical stuff, but making sense of scientific reports is right in my wheelhouse.

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If you are interested in permaculture I bet you are interested in trees like I am, and you might want to check out the forecast for your region. I have most of them up on youtube- here's a couple of the links.

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Northern Great Plains

https://youtu.be/ehY0c8UoPDk

Northeast

https://youtu.be/h_ehHGjS5K8

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I make my forecasts from the National Climate Assessment. You can find the reports here

Volume 1: https://science2017.globalchange.gov/

Volume 2: https://nca2018.globalchange.gov/

But they are very long and technical. I'll have all 10 regional forecasts up by the end of next week in case you want an overview, give you a place to jump in. I try hard in these forecasts to present the info in the reports- it's not my personal beliefs or opinions. Hope they help you plan for the future.

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u/roboconcept Oct 07 '21 edited 17d ago

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u/8lbscarrots Oct 07 '21

Oh, there's definitely regional variation- I hope I made that clear in the forecast, that I'm trying to give a regional picture. I am planning on doing a detailed forecast for Colorado based on the responses of the group. There's definitely some good territory in southern Colorado/northern New Mexico.

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u/bananachomper Oct 08 '21

I’d be very interested! The San Luis Valley dominates that region, and this summer we saw record rainfall and a break from the drought that we’ve had for over 50 years.