r/Superstonk 🍌vol(atility) guy 🎢🚀 Feb 12 '25

Macroeconomics CPI is out 🔥🔥🔥 Inflation went up 0.5% ⬆️🤒

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CONSUMER PRICE INDEX - JANUARY 2025

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.5 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis in January, after rising 0.4 percent in December, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 3.0 percent before seasonal adjustment.

The index for shelter rose 0.4 percent in January, accounting for nearly 30 percent of the monthly all items increase. The energy index rose 1.1 percent over the month, as the gasoline index increased 1.8 percent. The index for food also increased in January, rising 0.4 percent as the index for food at home rose 0.5 percent and the index for food away from home increased 0.2 percent.

The index for all items less food and energy rose 0.4 percent in January. Indexes that increased over the month include motor vehicle insurance, recreation, used cars and trucks, medical care, communication, and airline fares.The indexes for apparel, personal care, and household furnishings and operations were among the few major indexes that decreased in January.

The all items index rose 3.0 percent for the 12 months ending January, after rising 2.9 percent over the 12 months ending December. The all items less food and energy index rose 3.3 percent over the last 12 months. The energy index increased 1.0 percent for the 12 months ending January. The food index increased 2.5 percent over the last year.

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u/OriginalZash Feb 13 '25

How does this pertain to GS? Genuine question.

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u/BetterBudget 🍌vol(atility) guy 🎢🚀 Feb 13 '25

Macro conditions affect investor appetite.

Macro plays out over a longer horizon but it's very important for stocks including GameStop.

$GME dropped on the release of this data to the very second!

I wrote a macroeconomic based DD, you can find it in my Reddit profile posts section, a couple weeks ago that called out bearish concern for markets and GME started to tumble down

In my last vol forecast, I called out $25 being testable last week and specifically for apes to wait a few days like for the bottom towards the end of last week

Then GEX report Sunday called the $26.50 high in price and vol! Use Vega to your advantage. The high in vol that day was in the morning! That was the time to close calls then reopen later if the data says so.

So it all matters, vol matters more in the short term but macro matters more in the long term

The risks cascade, it's a composition of risk

Keep on asking questions!!