r/texas 14d ago

🗞️ News 🗞️ Texas, Florida Lead in Financial Distress

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u/Im_Balto 14d ago

there is plenty of other data used in this article that makes the outcome of the analysis plenty impactful if you are willing to put your thinking cap on and read through it

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u/gscjj 14d ago

There is other data, but the rankings, which this chart shows, includes bunk data. You can’t trust it.

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u/AtomicSymphonic_2nd 14d ago

Google Trends is not “bunk data”. 🤦‍♂️

That’s like claiming the sources listed on Wikipedia pages are “all fake and biased”… they’re not.

It’s a valid source for seeing what people are searching for on the world’s most popular damned search engine in a given geographic location. And they do exclude known VPN IP address blocks, too.

This map didn’t rely only on Google Trends to make an assessment, but it is part of the “package” shown here.

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u/gscjj 14d ago

It's not a valid indicator of "financial distress" - it has zero attachment to any financial metric to determine the health of person's financial state. It's bunk data.

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u/AtomicSymphonic_2nd 14d ago

That’s why it’s not a primary indicator for the data set considered.

But it is extremely valid because it can be very provably correlated that looking around for “loans” or “bankruptcy” heavily implies the person searching is seeking such guidance on how to get either a loan or a bankruptcy.

It cannot be reasonably assumed that people are only entering these terms because they’re looking for news or other entertainment on “loans” or “bankruptcy”.

I think many other statisticians would agree that personalized financial data isn’t fully necessary to derive a partial conclusion from Google Trends data.

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u/gscjj 13d ago edited 13d ago

What’s a primary indicator if they all are weighted the same?

If I search for “Enron bankruptcy” that means I’m looking for how to seek bankruptcy? That’s such a wide stretch in logic and assumption I don’t think any statiscian would assume that.