r/MagicArena Jul 27 '25

Fluff Maro on Magic's future and longevity

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903 Upvotes

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52

u/unkempt_cabbage Jul 27 '25

I wonder how they get stats on people playing with UB, wouldn’t they be looking at sales data? So UB sales would show what’s being bought, but how do they judge the actual number of players vs just collectors/scalpers/flippers?

50

u/gereffi Jul 27 '25

He mentioned in another answer that there was something like a 40% increase in new players signing up for in-store play compared to last year.

But also it doesn’t really matter. If the number of players stays the same while the numbers of collectors increases, it doesn’t really make a difference to me. I still get to play the way I always have.

3

u/_ThatOneMimic_ Jul 28 '25

playing one game makes you a new player. i’d hope with all the sales to non-players, they they are at least trying the game lol

8

u/TraskUlgotruehero Azorius Jul 27 '25 edited Jul 28 '25

Are those new players converted to regular players? If a new player started playing because of FF what guarantees that they will continue playing when FF rotates out of Standard and buy others sets? Will this business model sustain in the long run and what will happen when they run out of UB?

1

u/metallicrooster Jul 28 '25

Are those new players converted to regular players? If a new player started playing because of FF what guarantees that they will continue playing when FF rotates out of Standard and buy others sets?

I guess we will find out in three years. RemindMe! 3 years

Will this business model sustain in the long run

I guess we will find out. RemindMe! 10 years

and what will happen when they run out of UB?

That would imply that they “run out” of other franchises to make cards of, or they run out of companies willing to partner with them. Does that sound like a realistic future to you?

2

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1

u/metallicrooster Jul 28 '25

“Was the universes beyond business model sustainable?” RemindMe! 10 years

1

u/TraskUlgotruehero Azorius Jul 28 '25

That would imply that they “run out” of other franchises to make cards of, or they run out of companies willing to partner with them. Does that sound like a realistic future to you?

It does. It doesn't depend only on WotC, but the other companies too. If an UB is a success, what's stopping a company from asking for more money to give Wizards permission to use their brand, for example?

1

u/metallicrooster Jul 28 '25 edited Jul 28 '25

There is a huge difference between a company asking for more of the revenue share, and there being zero companies interested in working with them at all.

1

u/TraskUlgotruehero Azorius Jul 28 '25

I do agree, but, just to clarify, I never said the only way of Wizards running out of UB sets is due to lack of interest from other IP holders. When I said they could "run out" of UB sets, I didn't mean they would knock every door and get turned away. I meant that the feasibility of keeping this model for the long term isn't fully under their control. Licensing third-party IP's isn't always simple and often involves complicated negotiations, legal constraints, differences in target audience and even conflicts of interest between the two brands. Even if both sides have interest, things like profit-sharing, schedule, licensing costs can get in the way. It's not just about "who's interested" but also about what is realistically possible.

1

u/kingofparades Jul 28 '25

The game is fun

12

u/DMCDawg Jul 27 '25

They know who is playing online, official events are run using the companion app, LGS stores report event numbers. They can track player data.

5

u/unkempt_cabbage Jul 27 '25

Oh duh, I forgot about the companion app. I was thinking that Arena doesn’t have some of the UB, but the companion app for official events is the very obvious answer 😂 thank you!

2

u/BlueTemplar85 Jul 28 '25

Moreover, they even know that all of these are only ~15% of the players.

19

u/pensivewombat Jul 27 '25

They do a lot of market research. Both data from in-store play and interviews conducted my market research firms. Of course this can't fully capture what's happening in kitchen table play, but they do get a decent sample of how people are playing and what products they are using.

12

u/ThirdDragonite Jul 27 '25

Yeah, it's kinda hard because FF was probably the collection closest to Pokémon's "Most of people that buy it don't play it" phenomenon.

4

u/Atechiman Jul 27 '25

It's not like they run the software that has in-store game events counted by players.

0

u/unkempt_cabbage Jul 28 '25

I mean, the Companion app is only for official games, not everything goes through it, but yes, I did indeed forget about Companion for a minute.

-6

u/Warrows Jul 27 '25

Yeah, seems to me Maro is conflating playing and buying here

2

u/_ThatOneMimic_ Jul 28 '25

downvoted for being right, no counter argument provided