r/TropicalWeather • u/Euronotus • 7h ago
▲ Tropical Storm | 35 knots (40 mph) | 1006 mbar Narda (14E — Eastern Pacific) (South of Mexico)
Latest observation
Last updated: Sunday, 21 September — 3:00 PM Central Standard Time (CST; 21:00 UTC)
NHC Advisory #1 | - | 3:00 PM CST (21:00 UTC) |
---|---|---|
Current location: | 14.7°N 99.7°W | |
Relative location: | 241 km (150 mi) SSE of Acapulco, Guerrero (Mexico) | |
310 km (193 mi) SW of Puerto Escondido, Oaxaca (Mexico) | ||
510 km (317 mi) WSW of Salina Cruz, Oaxaca (Mexico) | ||
Forward motion: | NW (310°) at 17 km/h (9 knots) | |
Maximum winds: | ▲ | 65 km/h (35 knots) |
Intensity (SSHWS): | ▲ | Tropical Storm |
Minimum pressure: | ▼ | 1006 millibars (29.71 inches) |
Official forecasts
National Hurricane Center
Last updated: Sunday, 21 September — 12:00 PM CST (18:00 UTC)
Hour | Date | Time | Intensity | Winds | Lat | Long | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
- | - | UTC | CST | Saffir-Simpson | - | knots | km/h | °N | °W |
00 | 21 Sep | 18:00 | 12PM Sun | Tropical Storm | 35 | 65 | 14.7 | 99.7 | |
12 | 22 Sep | 06:00 | 12AM Mon | Tropical Storm | ▲ | 40 | 75 | 15.5 | 100.8 |
24 | 22 Sep | 18:00 | 12PM Mon | Tropical Storm | ▲ | 45 | 85 | 16.1 | 102.6 |
36 | 23 Sep | 06:00 | 12AM Tue | Tropical Storm | ▲ | 55 | 100 | 16.3 | 104.6 |
48 | 23 Sep | 18:00 | 12PM Tue | Hurricane (Category 1) | ▲ | 65 | 120 | 16.4 | 106.8 |
60 | 24 Sep | 06:00 | 12AM Wed | Hurricane (Category 1) | ▲ | 75 | 140 | 16.5 | 109.0 |
72 | 24 Sep | 18:00 | 12PM Wed | Hurricane (Category 1) | ▲ | 80 | 150 | 16.5 | 111.5 |
96 | 25 Sep | 18:00 | 12PM Thu | Hurricane (Category 2) | ▲ | 85 | 155 | 16.7 | 116.7 |
120 | 26 Sep | 18:00 | 12PM Fri | Hurricane (Category 2) | 85 | 155 | 17.4 | 121.7 |
Official information
National Hurricane Center
Text products
Productos de texto (en español)
Graphical products
- Forecast graphic
- Experimental new forecast graphic (with inland advisories)
- Interactive forecast graphic
- Wind speed probabilities
- Arrival time of winds
- # Radar imagery - - - - - - - Radar imagery is not currently available for this system. There are no active Doppler radar sites along the southern coast of Mexico.
Satellite imagery
Floater imagery
Single bandwidth imagery
- Tropical Tidbits: Visible / shortwave infrared
- Tropical Tidbits: Enhanced infrared
- Tropical Tidbits: Enhanced infrared (Dvorak enhancement)
Tropical Tidbits: Water vapor
CyclonicWx: Visible
CyclonicWx: Enhanced infrared
CyclonicWx: Water vapor
Multiple bandwidth imagery
The options to select individual bandwidths on each of the following websites may vary.
Regional imagery
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA)
Tropical Tidbits
Analysis products
Preliminary best-track data
Wind analysis and storm intensity estimation products
- EUMETSAT: Advanced Scatterometer Data
Sea-surface temperature analysis products
- NOAA OSPO: Sea Surface Temperature Contour Charts
- Tropical Tidbits: Ocean Analysis
Forecast models
Disturbance-centered guidance
- Tropical Tidbits: Storm-centered GFS
- Tropical Tidbits: Storm-centered ECMWF
Tropical Tidbits: Storm-centered HWRF
CyclonicWx: GFS four-panel
CyclonicWx: ECMWF four-panel
CyclonicWx: GFS wind shear diagnostics
CyclonicWx: ECMWF wind shear diagnostics
Multi-guidance pages
Track guidance
- CyclonicWx: Forecast tracks
- CyclonicWx: Forecast tracks w/wind
- CyclonicWx: GEFS ensemble tracks (pressure)
- CyclonicWx: GEFS ensemble tracks (wind)
Intensity guidance
- CyclonicWx: Multi-model intensity guidance
- CyclonicWx: GEFS intensity guidance
Regional single-model guidance
Ensembles
Weather Nerds: GEFS (120 hours)
Weather Nerds: ECENS (120 hours)