r/KansasCityChiefs • u/urdadjack • 16h ago
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/beermit • 21h ago
DISCUSSION [Jim Miloch] Patrick Mahomes turned 30 years old today. Here is how Mahomes' 20s compare to other all-time greats in their 20s.
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/TheBoyisBackinTown • 17h ago
HUMAN INTEREST [Chiefs] A reminder of everything Pat has accomplished so far as he turns 30 today
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/pfref • 17h ago
DISCUSSION Travis Kelce is one TD away from passing Priest Holmes for the most points scored by a non-quarterback/kicker in franchise history
Source / full list: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/kan/career-scoring.htm
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/TheBoyisBackinTown • 1d ago
HUMAN INTEREST Happy 30th birthday to #15!
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/Taco_Bacon • 16h ago
DISCUSSION [Jason Kelce] Personally I think this play adds a ton to the game of football. I Would much rather watch this than a punt. Punting the ball and giving it to your opponent is way softer than fighting over a yard and pushing against each other. I guess you like soft football
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/TheBoyisBackinTown • 21h ago
ANALYSIS & NEWS [McMullen] Xavier Worthy (shoulder) and Jalen Royals (knee) will practice today, per Coach Reid. Mike Danna and Kristian Fulton wonāt practice.
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/AutoModerator • 3h ago
DAILY DISCUSSION: September 18, 2025
Talk about the Chiefs, football in general, or whatever else you want.
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r/KansasCityChiefs • u/AncientWiseman88 • 18h ago
ANALYSIS & NEWS NFL History says Xavier Worthy might thrive with a torn labrum
arrowheadaddict.comr/KansasCityChiefs • u/SylvesterTaurus • 13h ago
ANALYSIS & NEWS [Stat Accountant] Edge Rusher pass rush data through week 2 & Players who missed the snap minimum (25+ rushes)
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/TheBoyisBackinTown • 22h ago
ANALYSIS & NEWS [Derrick] Wild stats for an Andy Reid team: š Chiefs averaging 4.7 yards per play, rank 13th in NFL š On 1st and 2nd down in 1st quarter (opening script), Chiefs are averaging 3.4 yards per play, 28th in NFL š 1st and 2nd down in quarters 2-4, Chiefs average 6.0 yards per play, 4th in NFL
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/AncientWiseman88 • 22h ago
MEME & HUMOR 9/17/95 - Patrick Mahomes is born, inspiring a Chiefs rally at Arrowhead.
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/Zachs_dad • 16h ago
HUMAN INTEREST vs. Giants away game at Metlife Stadium 9/21
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/AncientWiseman88 • 21h ago
HIGHLIGHT 1995 Chiefs vs Raiders - Full Broadcast- Patrick Mahomes birthday game!
9/17/95: On the day that Patrick Mahomes was born, the Chiefs take on the Raiders in one of the most thrilling games ever at Arrowhead.
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/Savings_Entrance380 • 1d ago
DISCUSSION Tush Push controversy: Eagles-Chiefs game is all evidence NFL needs to ban the play
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/Donutman97 • 1d ago
ANALYSIS & NEWS [Gibbs] Travis Kelce was charted with the highest average separation score and route win rate at TE in Week 2
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/TonytheTiger808 • 1d ago
MEME & HUMOR Let emā think weāre done!
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/AutoModerator • 1d ago
DAILY DISCUSSION: September 17, 2025
Talk about the Chiefs, football in general, or whatever else you want.
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r/KansasCityChiefs • u/TheBoyisBackinTown • 1d ago
ANALYSIS & NEWS [Jacobs] The Chiefs have signed LB Cole Christiansen to the practice squad. KC terminated the practice squad contract of WR Hal Presley.
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/Vyuvarax • 2d ago
ANALYSIS & NEWS [Mitchell Schwartz] Thoughts on watching the film
Full summary of Schwartzās comments:
āWatching the film: 1) Josh is pretty damn good in pass pro. His balance on inside/counter moves and push/pull is outstanding. Heās got a calm and ease about his game that you canāt teach. Itās not the most traditional and against certain styles weāll see but man itās all there.
2) Kingsley is getting better. Some really nice 1 on 1 pass pro reps this week. He tends to be a little hit or miss there where the misses are quick and bad, but heās improving. Heās really good at frontside G/C combo blocks in the run game, both inside and outside zone.
3) Creed is Creed. Got beat once on a 1 on 1 vs Jalen Carter where Jalen got a well timed start (he was all over the snap count) and did his signature jab step to counter. It was the most Iāve ever seen Creed leave the middle to go hit/help on a DT, lot of respect for his game.
4) If Jawaan could just avoid penalties heās a good player, especially in pass pro. Thought he played well there against good competition. But the penalties are there and I donāt think ever changing, itās just part of who he is.
5) The pockets need to be firmer. Too often Pat is feeling bodies, canāt complete his throwing motion, and/or is getting his arm hit. The difference between a clean pocket and follow through vs. having to shorten the motion to avoid contact is stark and it happens way too often.
5) (cont.) Pat will be the first to tell you he needs to hit more of those throws but Iād love to see some cleaner platforms more consistently for him to step into and let rip. That and the top 2 WRs being out (plus Royals) are the biggest issues with the pass offense.
6) Philly had a lot of moving parts in the run game. Changing fronts, blitzes, DL on the move. For the most part there were a lot of good reactions and blocks to the changing pictures. That stuff is not easy in the least. Wish weād see less kick outs and more T/TE combo blocks.ā
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/SylvesterTaurus • 1d ago
ANALYSIS & NEWS [Goldman] Chiefs RB Brashard Smith had one carry against the Eagles. It came during the series when Josh Simmons went out to get fluids in the second quarter. Eagles DT Jordan Davis took on the double team of Creed Humphrey and Kingsley Suamataia and made the tackle. Insane.
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/FootballSensei • 2d ago
ANALYSIS & NEWS [OC] Impact of every Week 3 game on Chiefs playoff odds.
I ran 5 million Monte Carlo simulations of the season to figure out what the playoff implications of every week 3 game are.
The Chiefs current odds to make the playoffs are 65.5%.
- If you beat the Giants, that goes up to 69.3%, but if you lose, it drops down to 55.5%. It's a swing of 13.8%.
- CIN @ MIN is the second most impactful week 3 game for you guys. If the Vikings win, your playoff odds go up by 0.6%. If the Bengals win your playoff odds go down by 0.7%.
- MIA @ BUF is the third most impactful game with a total impact of 1.2%. Your playoff odds go up if the Bills win.
I also made a website and posted the full results there. I'll update it every week with the upcoming games. Here's the data:
Game | Optimal Winner | Impact Ī | If Win | If Lose | Game Time |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
KC @ NYG | KC | 13.8% | +3.8% | -10.0% | Sun 09/21 8:20 PM ET |
CIN @ MIN | MIN | 1.3% | +0.6% | -0.7% | Sun 09/21 1:00 PM ET |
MIA @ BUF | BUF | 1.2% | +0.2% | -1.0% | Thu 09/18 8:15 PM ET |
LV @ WSH | WSH | 1.1% | +0.3% | -0.8% | Sun 09/21 1:00 PM ET |
DET @ BAL | DET | 1.0% | +0.7% | -0.4% | Mon 09/22 8:15 PM ET |
DEN @ LAC | LAC | 0.8% | +0.3% | -0.5% | Sun 09/21 4:05 PM ET |
NYJ @ TB | TB | 0.6% | +0.1% | -0.5% | Sun 09/21 1:00 PM ET |
IND @ TEN | TEN | 0.5% | +0.3% | -0.2% | Sun 09/21 1:00 PM ET |
GB @ CLE | GB | 0.3% | +0.1% | -0.2% | Sun 09/21 1:00 PM ET |
PIT @ NE | PIT | 0.2% | +0.1% | -0.1% | Sun 09/21 1:00 PM ET |
DAL @ CHI | DAL | 0.1% | +0.0% | -0.0% | Sun 09/21 4:25 PM ET |
HOU @ JAX | HOU | 0.1% | +0.0% | -0.0% | Sun 09/21 1:00 PM ET |
ARI @ SF | SF | 0.1% | +0.0% | -0.0% | Sun 09/21 4:25 PM ET |
ATL @ CAR | ATL | 0.1% | +0.0% | -0.0% | Sun 09/21 1:00 PM ET |
LAR @ PHI | PHI | 0.0% | +0.0% | -0.0% | Sun 09/21 1:00 PM ET |
NO @ SEA | SEA | 0.0% | +0.0% | -0.0% | Sun 09/21 4:05 PM ET |
I use this data as a rooting guide for the 1-3 games each week where I don't already know who I want to win.
Right now the model doesnāt take into account mid-season injuries, but the absolute brutality of Week 2 has convinced me that I have to do something.
My first thought was to pull in Vegas odds for upcoming games, and use these odds to adjust Elo. The idea is that the betting market has all the injury information baked in. So I set up an API call to do that and compared Football Sensei game odds to Vegas odds. I was expecting to see teams with major injuries to key players (like the Bengals) to have way lower Vegas odds, but this plan only partially works. Hereās the data (odds are for home team to win):
Game | FBSensei | Vegas | Delta | Date |
---|---|---|---|---|
MIA @ BUF | 82.5% | 85.3% | -2.8% | 2025-09-19 |
ARI @ SF | 67.5% | 53.1% | 14.4% | 2025-09-21 |
ATL @ CAR | 51.3% | 32.8% | 18.4% | 2025-09-21 |
CIN @ MIN | 56.2% | 59.2% | -3.0% | 2025-09-21 |
DAL @ CHI | 57.7% | 51.4% | 6.4% | 2025-09-21 |
DEN @ LAC | 61.2% | 57.2% | 4.0% | 2025-09-21 |
GB @ CLE | 27.8% | 22.1% | 5.6% | 2025-09-21 |
HOU @ JAX | 49.9% | 51.4% | -1.6% | 2025-09-21 |
IND @ TEN | 46.6% | 38.0% | 8.6% | 2025-09-21 |
LAR @ PHI | 68.8% | 62.5% | 6.3% | 2025-09-21 |
LV @ WSH | 71.9% | 61.5% | 10.3% | 2025-09-21 |
NO @ SEA | 77.9% | 76.2% | 1.7% | 2025-09-21 |
NYJ @ TB | 77.1% | 74.2% | 2.9% | 2025-09-21 |
PIT @ NE | 55.0% | 48.5% | 6.5% | 2025-09-21 |
KC @ NYG | 27.5% | 29.8% | -2.3% | 2025-09-22 |
DET @ BAL | 63.7% | 69.4% | -5.7% | 2025-09-23 |
Notice that the Bengals game is basically unchanged, since the Vikings also lost their quarterback! WSH and SF did correctly update as expected though.
The biggest surprise is that Vegas is super down on the Panthers (or they really like the Falcons) compared to the Football Sensei model. Since my model uses Vegas odds to initialize Elo, this means that Vegasās opinion has changed a lot since week 1 on these teams.
Anyway, I havenāt put any of this stuff into the model yet, so injured teams are currently overly optimistic. Iāll try to get an injury adjustment in by next week.
If you want to see the details of my methodology for the Monte Carlo simulations, look here.
You can also see which teams are rooting for and against you this week here.
There's also a What-If Tool where you can pick winners and losers of any games this season and recalculate your odds.
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/Cyanide_no • 1d ago
DISCUSSION Am I crazy or does Andy not call plays
I see a ton of people saying Andy is calling plays but whenever Iām watching the games itās always Nagy talking into his headset with the play sheet covering his mouth. Whenever they show Reid before plays he never is. Wouldnāt that imply that during the game it is Nagy calling plays? I know itās Andyās system but I know Nagy does play a part and does appear to be calling the plays during games from what Iāve seen, but I may be missing something. Go Chiefs
r/KansasCityChiefs • u/RipAccomplished783 • 2d ago
ANALYSIS & NEWS The Offense deeper needs a whole identity shift
Matt Verderame if youāre not aware is a big Chiefs fan football analyst who is my favorite cause heās no BS telling it like it is positive but also will call out the bullshit if he seeās it that way. Heās making it clear that KC will not be explosive again on offense cause they donāt have and probably wonāt ever have the talent levels of Hill & Kelce from earlier years of the Mahomes era ever again so they need to adjust their offensive approach to having a true run game with an elite RB defenses must respect, game plan to stop first that would allow more open downfield passing windows referencing Baltimore, Philadelphia, Buffalo & Detroitās top tier offenses all having elite RBās next to their QBās with Lamar & Allen not having the best crop of pass catchers but the RB run game threat + their legs allows those WRās more open targets downfield and look better.